Technical analysis
Technical analysis signals that survived the test
We started with 20 textbook signals: RSI levels, MACD and moving-average crosses, Bollinger touches, candlestick patterns. After costs, they lost money and did worse than random entries. Two simpler rules held up, and they're all Vantum sends now.
What failed
Classic indicator signals across 24 markets lost 0.08% per trade after costs over 31,000 backtested trades.
What held up
Short-term pullbacks inside long-term uptrends, and 20-day breakouts in crypto.
The rules
Pullback in an uptrend
57 stocks & ETFs and 16 crypto
When a market above its 200-day average drops hard (RSI(2) under 10), buy the next open. Sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average, or after 10 trading days.
- Win rate
- 66%
- Avg trade
- +0.5%
- vs random
- +0.4%
20-day breakout
16 cryptocurrencies
When a coin closes beyond its 20-day range, trade it at the next open with a 2 ATR stop. Exit after a close through the opposite 10-day range.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Avg trade
- +8.4%
- vs random
- +6.2%
Backtest across all markets, 2017–2026, after estimated costs. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations. Methodology and live record →
Recent signals
shown 24h after Pro got themBCH-USD closed below its 20-day low ($264.39) at $263.59. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $295.73 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $303.95).
XRP-USD closed below its 20-day low ($1.20) at $1.18. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $1.28 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $1.34).
DOGE-USD closed below its 20-day low ($0.0724) at $0.0710. Plan: sell short at the next open, stop at $0.0775 (2 ATR), exit at the open after a close above the 10-day high (now $0.0811).
TXN pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 8.0, price $278.15 above its 200-day average ($261.86). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $301.00), or after 10 trading days.
XLE pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 4.5, price $63.52 above its 200-day average ($59.01). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $67.24), or after 10 trading days.
CVX pulled back sharply inside an uptrend: RSI(2) 5.8, price $216.96 above its 200-day average ($194.20). Plan: buy at the next open, sell at the open after the first close above the 5-day average (now $227.40), or after 10 trading days.
How a trade works
- 1The scanner checks every market after its daily close.
- 2A setup triggers: Pro gets the entry and the exit rule right away.
- 3When the exit rule fires, Pro gets an exit alert for the next open.
- 4The result goes into the public track record, win or lose.
Questions
Where can I see the results for each indicator?
Each indicator has its own research page, for example /rsi-signals and /macd-signals, with the backtest numbers.
Is there a free plan for Vantum?
Yes. Free accounts see every signal 24 hours after it fires, plus the full track record. Pro ($19/month, 7-day free trial) gets entries as the close confirms them and exit alerts by Telegram, email or webhook.
Are these results real?
The rules were chosen on 2017–2022 data and checked on 2023 onwards and on tickers the research never used. Those backtest results are hypothetical. Every live trade since launch is published with its result at /accuracy, losses included.
Is this financial advice?
No. These are rule-based signals for education and research. Past performance, real or simulated, does not guarantee future results.
Get the next trade in time to act on it
Pro sends each entry as the daily close confirms it and an exit alert when it's time to close. $19/month after a 7-day free trial. Free accounts see every trade 24 hours later.